Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 1.698814 1.938575 2.201761 2.512373 2.869305 3.267060 3.744524
2025-09-14 1.374884 1.694359 2.074115 2.559925 3.166567 3.901272 4.861889
2025-09-21 1.125886 1.479231 1.928128 2.542702 3.366142 4.436822 5.943544
2025-09-28 0.918127 1.273742 1.751880 2.445742 3.433708 4.800056 6.850619
2025-10-05 0.827517 1.205570 1.740511 2.558868 3.790455 5.592695 8.462617
2025-10-12 0.757952 1.153682 1.739921 2.680521 4.169017 6.462280 10.318126
2025-10-19 0.685952 1.085911 1.703342 2.737518 4.450353 7.215869 12.102976
2025-10-26 0.623731 1.023488 1.664337 2.781039 4.709972 7.962669 13.983404
2025-11-02 0.549961 0.931956 1.565447 2.709422 4.762122 8.362880 15.315934
2025-11-09 0.476506 0.831352 1.438187 2.570187 4.673209 8.498049 16.176911
2025-11-16 0.431887 0.775113 1.379883 2.544321 4.782403 8.999895 17.798074
2025-11-23 0.390009 0.718667 1.314165 2.495297 4.839191 9.406378 19.286352
2025-11-30 0.372433 0.706102 1.329213 2.605556 5.227997 10.527984 22.458431
2025-12-07 0.349118 0.679938 1.315621 2.658110 5.509253 11.475862 25.428884
2025-12-14 0.320597 0.640232 1.271011 2.641791 5.644863 12.139127 27.883386
2025-12-21 0.286832 0.586108 1.191329 2.541649 5.585916 12.372299 29.384717
2025-12-28 0.277520 0.581281 1.211999 2.659861 6.027135 13.785776 33.959416
2026-01-04 0.269416 0.578000 1.235355 2.786790 6.506142 15.357786 39.214866
2026-01-11 0.256250 0.562172 1.229620 2.846280 6.833955 16.617439 43.895315
2026-01-18 0.243104 0.544885 1.218587 2.891679 7.133589 17.851976 48.737006
2026-01-25 0.222709 0.508847 1.160920 2.817100 7.121491 18.291178 51.451947
2026-02-01 0.199740 0.464399 1.078932 2.672073 6.907453 18.169291 52.533049
2026-02-08 0.186348 0.441321 1.045212 2.645137 7.002087 18.891747 56.248849